At the beginning of May 2024, Germany delivered the last missing birth figures for 2023, two months late. One may speculate about the reasons for this unusual delay. Sweden, on the other hand, has already provided data up to February 2024. The main result of both countries is a renewed decline in births in 2023 compared to 2022. The same was observed in
You in NL have had a declining birth trend in recent years, which should be carefully determined and then compared with the latest figures. This was omitted in the X article. Maybe you should compare your results with cm27874's European evaluation (the xlsx file). Things look a little different there.
Do you have an explanation for the positive outlier (btw, "uitschieter" is a marvelous word) in 2021? A similar effect is visible in a few other countries (Germany, Switzerland, Denmark, Austria, Belgium, Finland), although less pronounced. Are these the "happy lockdowners" (as opposed to Portugal, say)?
That's indeed also the explanation in NL. I don't know if they were really happy with the lockdowns , however, they try to made the best of the situation.
I added a small analysis of the Dutch numbers to your X article. The Netherlands had an unusually large increase in births in 2021. The decline thereafter is similar to that in other countries. However, it was not that far below the previous year's values.
Funny, in NL, it looks, nothing special on birthrates.
I created some figures last week, and the 2005-2019 trend shows us no deviations.
It is dutch, but you can use the translation function.
https://twitter.com/BonneKlok/status/1785613505032245291?t=GvgqcxdJksRMF4P2Bj6aQw&s=19
You in NL have had a declining birth trend in recent years, which should be carefully determined and then compared with the latest figures. This was omitted in the X article. Maybe you should compare your results with cm27874's European evaluation (the xlsx file). Things look a little different there.
I use a different method. I try to standardize by per 100k inhabitants.
Instead of an median (2017-2021), i use the option TREND in excel on the 2005-2019 range. and predict the birthrate for 2020-2023
Do you have an explanation for the positive outlier (btw, "uitschieter" is a marvelous word) in 2021? A similar effect is visible in a few other countries (Germany, Switzerland, Denmark, Austria, Belgium, Finland), although less pronounced. Are these the "happy lockdowners" (as opposed to Portugal, say)?
That's indeed also the explanation in NL. I don't know if they were really happy with the lockdowns , however, they try to made the best of the situation.
I added a small analysis of the Dutch numbers to your X article. The Netherlands had an unusually large increase in births in 2021. The decline thereafter is similar to that in other countries. However, it was not that far below the previous year's values.
https://x.com/ULorre/status/1788266430334751052